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GLENDALE http://www.theseahawksfanshop.com/Phil-Haynes-Jersey , Ariz. (AP) — Sebastian Janikowski’s 40-year-old leg had failed him twice earlier in the game on Sunday.But when it mattered most, the kick went through.Janikowski kicked a 52-yard field goal as time expired to give Seattle a 20-17 victory over Arizona on Sunday and spoil the strong debut of Cardinals rookie Josh Rosen as the starting quarterback.Jankowski had missed field goals of 38 and 52 yards.“There is always a next kick,” Janikowski said. “You turn the next page and you try to forget the first one, but it was rough today. My confidence is always there. I prepare myself in practice. I know what I can do but it is all mental.”The Seahawks (2-2) mounted their winning drive after Arizona’s 43-year-old kicker, Phil Dawson, missed a 45-yard field goal that would have given the lead to Arizona (0-4) with 1:50 to play.“It was a terrible kick, no excuses,” Dawson said. “I didn’t do my job, just a good, old-fashioned miss.”The Cardinals are 0-4 for the first time since 1986, two years before they moved from St. Louis, but at least they could point to the poised play of their young QB in his starting debut.“Hopefully, I can play in the NFL for a while,” he said afterward.Rosen completed 15 of 27 passes for 180 yards and a touchdown with no interceptions. He had several passes dropped.“I can’t keep saying it enough,” Arizona first-year coach Steve Wilks said. “The guy’s very poised, very confident and I like him back there commanding the huddle and running this offense. You can see the difference.”He threw a 22-yard touchdown pass to Chad Williams to tie it at 17-17 with 8:59 to play, then directed the drive to set up Dawson’s errant field goal try. Dawson also missed from 50 in the game.THOMAS HURTSeattle’s Earl Thomas was hurt on the Arizona TD pass and carted to the locker room with a left leg injury. After the game, coach Pete Carroll said Thomas had a lower leg fracture. The Seattle player, embroiled in a contract dispute with the team Ugo Amadi Jersey , made an obscene gesture toward the Seattle side of the field as he was being carted off.“Earl wanted an extension and at the end of the day he didn’t get that,” Seahawks defensive end Frank Clark said. “It sucks to see a guy who puts his heart into something, put his all into his team and he doesn’t get what he deserves.”DAVIS’ BIG DAYIt was by far the biggest day of Mike Davis’ career.“I just feel like I have been slept on ever since I came into the NFL,” he said, explaining his touchdown celebration routine, when he lies as if asleep and then bursts awake. “It’s just a reminder that I will wake them up one day.”Davis rushed for 101 yards and a pair of touchdowns in 21 carries after being pushed into extra duty by the absence of starter Chris Carson, out with a hip injury.Davis scored on a 20-yard sweep early and bulled in from a yard out for the go-ahead touchdown with a minute left in the third quarter.Seattle improved to 5-0-1 in its past six trips to the desert.David Johnson had his best game of the season for Arizona, rushing for 71 yards and catching three for 41 yards.With the score tied at 10, the Seahawks’ Russell Wilson threw to David Moore on a 30-yard play to the Arizona 23. After a pair of penalties against the Cardinals, Davis scored on a 1-yard run to put Seattle back in the lead at 17-10.But Rosen had completions of 31 yards to Ricky Seals-Jones and 30 yards on a screen to Johnson before throwing 22 yards to Chad Williams for his first NFL TD to tie it at 17-17 with 8:59 remaining.Arizona led 10-7 at the half on Johnson’s 1-yard TD run and Dawson’s 23-yard field goal.Seattle used up 7:46 of the third quarter with a 14-play drive that ended with Janikowski’s 40-yard field goal that tied it at 10-10 with 4:59 left in the quarter.INJURIES & INACTIVESIn the first quarter, rookie Will Dissly, the Seahawks’ starting tight end, was carted into the locker room with a knee injury. Thomas was hurt defending Williams on the TD catch.After losing his starting job to Rosen, Sam Bradford was inactive. Mike Glennon was the backup quarterback, active for the first time this season.UP NEXTSeahawks: host the Los Angeles Rams next Sunday.Cardinals: play the 49ers in San Francisco next Sunday. Wednesday I took a look at how the offensive line of the Seattle Seahawks performed in 2018 during the first half of the season versus the second half of the season using the ProFootballFocus.com..." />Skip to main contentclockmenumore-arrownoyesHorizontal - WhiteField Gullsa Seattle Seahawks communityLog In or Sign UpLog InSign UpFanpostsFanshotsSectionsSeahawksOddsAboutMastheadCommunity GuidelinesStubHubMoreAll 322 blogs on Horizontal - WhiteFanposts Fanshots Sections VideosCoffee and CigarettesGame AnalysisThe Numbers GameCigar ThoughtsFiled under:The Numbers GameThe OffseasonHow predictable was the Seahawks offense in 2018?New,116commentsPDTShareTweetShareShareHow predictable was the Seahawks offense in 2018?Bob Donnan-USA TODAY SportsWednesday I took a look at how the offensive line of the Seattle Seahawks performed in 2018 during the first half of the season versus the second half of the season using the ProFootballFocus.com Pass Blocking Efficiency metric. One of the things I discussed was how predictable the Hawks offense under first year offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer was, and specifically how it became somewhat possible to predict whether the team would run or throw based on nothing more than down and distance.This, of course, was a far lower level way of looking at the work that former Field Gulls contributor Sean Clement did earlier in the spring as a fanpost Mychal Kendricks Jersey , and it was the simplicity I was going for. Many readers were aghast at the chart I included in the article which showed the passing rate by down. Now, while that chart definitely shows that patterns of playcalling existed, let me take a moment to adjust some of those numbers in the chart because those are for every offensive play over the entire season. When adjusting for situational football, the predictability becomes even more prevalent. For starters, there are several situations in which teams are extremely unlikely to run the ball at all, such as during the two minute drill at the end of the first half. In addition, as my work in analyzing the Seattle offense in 2018 has shown, they truly adjust to unleash Russell Wilson once the game hits the ten minute mark of the fourth quarter. Thus, here are what the numbers are for those situations. So, simply removing those two specific situations yields a nearly three to one ratio of rushing on first downs. Drilling down into field position and game situation it is possible to get that ratio even more run heavy, but I think the point becomes clear. However, at least one commenter did not believe that a 70/30 split constituted predictability, demanding that the ratio be more run heavy.So, all I need to show is 85/15 or 90/10 to hit predictability? Not aproblem. Let’s move along to some situational football, specifically looking at third downs. Here is how the playcall breakdown looked for the Hawks in 2018 on third down broken into three categories of yards to go: 1-4 yards to go, 5-10 yards to go and 11 or more yards to go. And there we have hit the 90% threshold, as Russell Wilson dropped back to pass on more than 90% of third down plays when there were five to ten yards to gain. Now, before you go ranting about how bad and how predictable that is, I have something to point out regarding the nine rushing plays on 3rd & 5-10. Specifically Steve Largent Color Rush Jersey , four of them were scrambles by Wilson after dropping back to pass, and a fifth was a lateral to Ed Dickson while Wilson was scrambling as the pocket collapsed. So, moving those five plays out of the running column and into the passing column, and it yields the following. That is a whopping 95.96% of the time where the Seahawks passed on 3rd & 5-10 to go. In addition, the pass percent in the bottom row has increased, as I’ve taken the liberty of removing two late fourth quarter kneels and moving a scramble by Russ from the run column to the pass column. But don’t get too upset, because I’m still not done. Adjusting further for situational football, of the four designed running plays that the Seahawks called on third down with five to ten yards to go, three of them came with less three minutes to go in the fourth quarter as the Hawks were working to put the game away. So, if it’s predictability one wants, let’s look at third downs a bit more situationally. Specifically, let’s look at the run versus pass breakdown on third down by yards to go for the first half of games. And that right there is the biggest issue with the current version of the Seahawks offense. Once it is broken down into situational football, there are tendencies that are extremely, extremely strong, and it is possible for a defense to anticipate what is going to come based solely on the situation. If the Hawks are able to out execute the opponent, that is great. However, if they’re not able to out execute the opponent by a large margin, there could be substantial second year growing pains now that coaching staffs around the league will have an entire offseason to break down the tendencies of an offense that is highly predictable in specific situations.
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